Keselowski claims pole for new Nationwide car debut at Daytona

Autoracing Betting Lines

07/02/2010 - Daytona Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brad Keselowski will start on the pole for Friday night's Subway Jalapeno 250, in what will mark the first race for the new Nationwide Series car at Daytona International Speedway.

Keselowski, the current points leader, turned a lap of 183.031 m.p.h. around the 2.5-mile superspeedway in his sporty looking Dodge Challenger for his fourth pole of the season and the seventh of his Nationwide career. He also won the pole for last week's race at New Hampshire.

"It's just a great car," Keselowski said. "Even the backup car was good enough to be on the front row. It's just an awesome team, and it's really coming together great. It was a solid run, and I cant' think of any better place to start than the front row."

Keselowski's teammate, Park Kligerman, qualified second after posting a lap of 182.242 m.p.h.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. will start third in his one-time deal of driving the No.3 Wrangler Chevrolet, which was made famous by his father, Dale Earnhardt.

"Yeah, I'm really happy with that," Earnhardt Jr. said of his qualifying run. "I want to thank Wrangler and everybody for putting this deal together. To be in this race car, I'm really proud to be driving it and just happy for this team."

Series regular Justin Allgaier qualified fourth, while Kyle Busch, who leads the series with six race wins so far this season, took the fifth spot.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Greg Sacks, Ryan Newman, Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano completed the top-10.

Sacks, who is driving the No.88 Chevrolet for JR Motorsports, is celebrating the 25th anniversary of his first and only Cup victory, which came in the July race at Daytona.

With regards to the new Nationwide car, Ford will showcase its popular Mustang, while Chevrolet will bring a new model of its Impala, and Toyota will keep its standard version of the Camry.

Carl Long was the only driver who failed to qualify.

The 250-mile race at Daytona is scheduled to start around 8:00 p.m.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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